BIOCLIMATIC APPROACH TO THE ASSESSMENT OF POPULATION MORTALITY DURING HEAT WAVES: CASE STUDY OF THE SOUTH OF RUSSIA
Abstract
The results of research to determine the best bioclimatic predictor of mortality during heat waves are presented. Rostov-on-Don was chosen as a model city; statistical data for daily mortality and daily meteorological data for the warm period of 1999-2011 were analyzed. The research has shown the interrelation between the heat waves and population mortality. The risk of mortality due to coronary heart disease and cerebrovascular diseases increases with the rising temperature. The use of bioclimatic indices helps to identify the links between thermal indices and health risks. The study suggests application of the Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) index as a most promising one for further modeling the effects of high ambient temperatures on public health.
About the Authors
N. V. Shartova
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Landscape Geochemistry and Soil Geography, Senior Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Geography
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Landscape Geochemistry and Soil Geography, Senior Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Geography
D. A. Shaposhnikov
Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Environmental Health Laboratory, Senior Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Physics and Mathematics
Russian Federation
Environmental Health Laboratory, Senior Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Physics and Mathematics
P. I. Konstantinov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Senior Lecturer, PhD. in Geography
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Senior Lecturer, PhD. in Geography
B. A. Revich
Institute of Economic Forecasting
Russian Federation
Russian Academy of Sciences, Environmental Health Laboratory, Head of the Laboratory, Professor, D.Sc. in Mathematics
Russian Federation
Russian Academy of Sciences, Environmental Health Laboratory, Head of the Laboratory, Professor, D.Sc. in Mathematics
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Review
For citations:
Shartova N.V., Shaposhnikov D.A., Konstantinov P.I., Revich B.A. BIOCLIMATIC APPROACH TO THE ASSESSMENT OF POPULATION MORTALITY DURING HEAT WAVES: CASE STUDY OF THE SOUTH OF RUSSIA. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya. 2018;(6):47-55. (In Russ.)
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