FORECASTED EVOLUTION OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE TAGANROG BAY OF THE AZOV SEA
Abstract
The state of the Azov Sea coast between Taganrog and the Miuss Liman mouth is forecasted. Longterm observations are compared with cartographic materials and satellite images, and with factors of coast development, including the main types of synoptic situations. The analysis of coast development factors revealed their cyclic nature. The available series of observations made it possible to identify the cycles of activization and stabilization of abrasion and landslide processes. The periods of 1980–2002 and 2006– 2010 are characterized by the abrasion process stabilization; increasing washout of the coast is expected approximately till 2020; and by 2050 the intensity reduction to the values comparable to the beginning of the 21st century is forecasted. In the next decade the majority of coasts under study will be stable with a slight retreat tendency. Accumulative forms of Beglitskaya and Petrushinskaya spits will be exposed to minor washout
About the Authors
O. V. Ivlieva
Southern Federal University; Federal State Budget Institution Russian Information-Analytical and Research Water Economy Center.
Russian Federation
Department of Tourism, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography.
Russian Federation
Department of Tourism, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography.
L. A. Bespalova
Southern Federal University; Federal State Budget Institution Russian Information-Analytical and Research Water Economy Center.
Russian Federation
Department of Oceanology, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography.
Russian Federation
Department of Oceanology, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography.
V. I. Myslivets
Lomonosov Moscow State University.
Russian Federation
Department of Geomorphology and Palaeogeography, Leading Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Geography.
Russian Federation
Department of Geomorphology and Palaeogeography, Leading Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Geography.
L. M. Shipilova
Lomonosov Moscow State University.
Russian Federation
Department of Geomorphology and Palaeogeography, Senior Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Geograph.
Russian Federation
Department of Geomorphology and Palaeogeography, Senior Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Geograph.
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Review
For citations:
Ivlieva O.V., Bespalova L.A., Myslivets V.I., Shipilova L.M. FORECASTED EVOLUTION OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE TAGANROG BAY OF THE AZOV SEA. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya. 2017;(6):71-78. (In Russ.)
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