CLIMATE IN THE ARCTIC ZONE OFRUSSIA: ANALYSIS OF CURRENT CHANGES AND MODELING TRENDS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
Abstract
Data on temperature and precipitation within the Russian Arctic, taken from the different sources, such as weather stations, gridded archives and CMIP5 ESM, are compared. The accuracy of each archive was estimated and the ESMs were tested against the data of observations in the Russian Arctic for the historical period. The ranking was applied to develop an ESMs projection for the 21st century which integrates the results of high-quality models, and to evaluate its uncertainty
About the Authors
O. A. Anisimov
State Hydrology Institute, St. Prtrrburg
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. A. Kokorev
State Hydrology Institute, St. Prtrrburg
Russian Federation
D.Sc. in Geography, Head of the Department; Climate Change Research Department
Russian Federation
D.Sc. in Geography, Head of the Department; Climate Change Research Department
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Review
For citations:
Anisimov O.A., Kokorev V.A. CLIMATE IN THE ARCTIC ZONE OFRUSSIA: ANALYSIS OF CURRENT CHANGES AND MODELING TRENDS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya. 2016;(1):61-70. (In Russ.)
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