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FORECAST OF THE SITING OF SHOPPING CENTERS IN LARGE RUSSIAN AGGLOMERATIONS

Abstract

The state-of-the-art and the prospects of modern shopping centers development in large Russian agglomerations are discussed. Dynamics and specific features of their development for the nearest future are analyzed. Shopping centers are classified according to their size; the types of shopping centers in urban agglomerations are identified. Four groups of agglomerations are identified according to the type of development and location of shopping centers. Possible changes of the groups and their composition by 2015 are forecasted. Totally 271 existing shopping centers and 29 ones under construction were analyzed for 13 largest agglomerations (excludingMoscowand St.-Petersburg). Methods of evaluating the location of different types of objects are discussed and the instruments for forecasting the siting of large shopping centers in a city based on mathematical and geoinformational modeling are suggested. Siting of potential commercial objects is forecasted using the iterative approach with application of the Huff model. Commercial and social efficiency of potential projects is analyzed. The results of the study could be useful for social economic investigations of cities and in urban planning. 

About the Author

A. F. Imangalin
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation


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Review

For citations:


Imangalin A.F. FORECAST OF THE SITING OF SHOPPING CENTERS IN LARGE RUSSIAN AGGLOMERATIONS. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya. 2014;(4):83-90. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 0579-9414 (Print)