Economic assessment of debris flow risk (case study of the Siberian Federal District)
Abstract
The results of economic assessment of debris flow risk in terms of the annual damage probability for municipalities are presented. Calculations of risk account for geophysical parameters of debris flows, such as susceptibility of the territory to debris flows, their frequency and duration of debris flow hazard period, as well as socio-economic characteristics of municipalities based on data from the Russian Federal State Statistics Service. It was found that the highest calculated values of debris flows risk (direct and total) are typical of the Republic of Buryatia and the Irkutsk region. The maximum values of total debris flows risk at the municipal level correspond to the Bodaibo and Slyudyansk (Irkutsk Region) and Tunkinsk and Kabansk (Republic of Buryatia) municipalities. The highest vulnerability to debris flows was found for Nizhneudinsk, Slyudyansky (Irkutsk Region), Zakamensk, Kurumkansk, Muysk, Okinsk, and Tunkinsk municipalities of the Siberian Federal District, where the debris flows risk amounts to 1 to 2% of the municipal gross production.
Supporting agencies: The work was financially supported by the Russian Science Foundation (project 16-17-00104) and Russian Geographical Society (project 14/2017/RGO-RFFI).
About the Authors
V. L. Baburin
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Social and Economic Geography of Russia, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Social and Economic Geography of Russia, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography
S. V. Badina
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, PhD. in Geography, Engineer
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, PhD. in Geography, Engineer
A. A. Derkacheva
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, Engineer
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, Engineer
S. A. Sokratov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Cryolithology and Glaciology, Associate Professor, PhD. in Geography
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Cryolithology and Glaciology, Associate Professor, PhD. in Geography
T. I. Khismatullin
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, Engineer
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, Engineer
A. L. Shnyparkov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, PhD. in Geography, Leading Researcher
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Laboratory of Snow Avalanches and Debris Flows, PhD. in Geography, Leading Researcher
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For citations:
Baburin V.L., Badina S.V., Derkacheva A.A., Sokratov S.A., Khismatullin T.I., Shnyparkov A.L. Economic assessment of debris flow risk (case study of the Siberian Federal District). Lomonosov Geography Journal. 2019;(4):3-14. (In Russ.)
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