CHANGES OF RUNOFF IN THE URAL RIVER BASIN
Abstract
The results of investigation of specific features and causes of the spatial and temporal changes of runoff of the Ural River and its main tributaries are presented. The focus is on finding the regularities and tendencies of the long-term fluctuations of annual and seasonal river runoff, climatic and anthropogenic causes of river runoff variability, as well as the determination and comprehensive analysis of characteristic hydrological periods. The natural and real water resources of the river and its discharge into the Caspian Sea are assessed. The structure of the anthropogenic load on river water resources is studied, and the information about its possible future transformation is given. The forecast of the changes in the annual and spring flood runoff parameters of the Ural River and its main tributaries by the middle of the 21 st century is elaborated.
Keywords
water regime,
long-term variability,
parameters of the distribution,
water management,
climatic changes,
forecasting
Supporting agencies: The study was financially supported by the Russian Science Foundation (project № 14-17-00155) and 2016-2020 state-financed research theme of the MSU Department of Land Hydrology (АААА-А16-116032810054-3)
About the Authors
D. V. Magritsky
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Land Hydrology, Associate Professor, PhD. in Geography
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Land Hydrology, Associate Professor, PhD. in Geography
V. M. Evstigneev
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Land Hydrology, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Land Hydrology, Professor, D.Sc. in Geography
N. M. Yumina
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Land Hydrology, Senior Lecturer, PhD. in Geography
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Land Hydrology, Senior Lecturer, PhD. in Geography
P. A. Toropov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Faculty of Geography, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Associate Professor, PhD. in Geography
A. Zh. Kenzhebayeva
The Branch of the Institute of Geography, Astana
Kazakhstan
Junior Scientific Researcher
Kazakhstan
Junior Scientific Researcher
G. S. Ermakova
N.N. Zubov State Oceanographic Institute
Russian Federation
Scientific Researcher
Russian Federation
Scientific Researcher
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Review
For citations:
Magritsky D.V., Evstigneev V.M., Yumina N.M., Toropov P.A., Kenzhebayeva A.Zh., Ermakova G.S. CHANGES OF RUNOFF IN THE URAL RIVER BASIN. Vestnik Moskovskogo universiteta. Seriya 5, Geografiya. 2018;1(1):90-101. (In Russ.)
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