Preview

Lomonosov Geography Journal

Advanced search

Spatio-temporal analysis of agricultural employment in the countries of the world

Abstract

The article is devoted to a comprehensive study of the transformation of agricultural employment in the world, regions and countries. Along with the progress of economic development, the role of agriculture in the structure of economy and employment decreases. However, due to the geographical differentiation of countries, the process is extremely uneven; it occurs at different time periods and at different rates. The developed countries underwent transformation in the middle of the 19th – first half of the 20th century, the developing countries of Latin America and North Africa – in the second half of the 20th century. Many Asian countries are undergoing dramatic changes in the agricultural sector and employment nowadays. The pace of the agricultural employment transformation is accelerating due to technological progress and the development of the world division of labor. The study is based on a large array of statistical data for 162 countries. The article analyzes the place of agriculture in the structure of economy and employment, as well as the transformation of agricultural employment under general economic structural changes for the period from 1991 to 2019. Particular attention is paid to the stages of transformation as a spatio-temporal process and the ways it took cause in defferent states.

 

About the Authors

A. A. Potapova
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography, Department of Socio-Economic Geography of Foreign Countries

Ph.D. student, Junior Scientific Researcher



A. S. Naumov
Lomonosov Moscow State University; National Research University “Higher School of Economics”, Institute of Agrarian Research
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography, Department of Socio-Economic Geography of Foreign Countries; Lomonosov Moscow State University

Department of Rural Development Studies, Department Head National Research University “Higher School of Economics”, Institute of Agrarian Research

Head of the Department, Associate Professor, Ph.D. in Geography

 

 



References

1. Brazilian agriculture: prospects and challenges, OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook, 2015, р. 61‒109, DOI: 10.1787/agr_outlook-2015-en.

2. Broadberry S., Gardner L. Africa’s growth prospects in a European mirror: a historical perspective, CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE), 2013, no. 172, 26 р.

3. Bustos P., Bruno C., Jacopo P. Agricultural productivity and structural transformation: evidence from Brazil, American Economic Review, 2016, no. 106(6), р. 1320-65, DOI: 10.1257/aer.20131061.

4. Chand R., Srivastava S., Singh J. Changing structure of rural economy of India implications for employment and growth, NITI Aayog, 2017, 30 р.

5. Christiaensen L., Rutledge Z., Taylor J.E. The future of work in agriculture: some reflections, Policy Research Working Paper, 9193, World Bank, Washington DC, 2020, 27 р.

6. Collinson M.A., White M.J., Ginsburg C.G. Youth migration, livelihood prospects and demographic dividend: A comparison of the census 2011 and Agincourt health and demographic surveillance system in the rural northeast of South Africa, African Population Studies, 2016, no. 30(2), р. 2629-39.

7. Fostering inclusive rural transformation, Rural Development Report, 2016, 378 p.

8. Grigor’ev L.M., Pavlyushina V.A. Mezhstranovoe neravenstvo: dinamika i problema stadij razvitiya [Intercountry inequality: dynamics and the problem of stages of development], Voprosy ekonomiki, 2018, no. 7, p. 5‒29, DOI: 10.32609/0042-8736-2018-7-5-29. (In Russian)

9. Jesus F., Connie D., Matteo L. The declining share of agricultural employment in the People’s Republic of China: how fast? Abd economics working paper series, 2014, no. 419, 24 р.

10. Johnston B.F. Association agriculture and structural transformation in developing Countries: a survey of research, Journal of Economic Literature, 1970, no. 8(2), р. 369‒404.

11. Kwan F., Wu Y., Zhuo S. Surplus agricultural labour and China’s Lewis turning point, China Economic Review, 2018, no. 48, р. 244–257.

12. Li M., Hualou L., Yingnan Z., Shuangshuang T., Dazhuan G., Xiaosong T. Agricultural labor changes and agricultural economic development in China and their implications for rural vitalization, Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2019, no. 29(2), р. 163–179.

13. Li Y., Westlund H., Liu Y. Why some rural areas decline while some others not: An overview of rural evolution in the world, Journal of Rural Studies, 2019, no. 68, р. 135–143.

14. Lewis W.A. Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour, The Manchester School, 1954, no. 22, р. 139–191.

15. Narasimha R.D., Amarender R.A., Nagaraj N., Cynthia B. Emerging trends in rural employment structure and rural labor markets in India, Working Paper Series, 2014, no. 56, 26 p.

16. Natale F., Kalantaryan S., Scipioni M., Alessandrini A., Pasa A. Migration in EU rural areas, Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2019, 65 p.

17. Naumov A.S. Sovremennoye razvitiye spetsializirovannogo sel’skogo khozyaystva v zarubezhnykh stranakh [Modern development of specialized agricultural region in foreign countries]. Vestn. Mosk. un-ta, Ser. 5, Geogr., 2012, no. 2, р. 40‒48. (In Russian)

18. Naumov A.S., Potapova A.A. Vliyanie mezhdunarodnoj trudovoj migracii na sovremennoe regional’noe razvitie mirovogo sel’skogo hozyajstva [Impact of international labor migration on the modern regional development of world agriculture], Regional’nye issledovaniya, 2019, no. 4, p. 56–70. (In Russian)

19. Pandit K., Casetti E. The shifting patterns of sectoral labor sllocation during development: developed versus developing countries, Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 1989, no. 79 (3), р. 329–344, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8306.1989.tb00266.x.

20. Romanus O., Oluwatoyin M., Obindah G., Toun O., Ebere N. Agriculture development, employment generation and poverty reduction in West Africa, The Open Agriculture Journal, 2019, no. 13, р. 82–89.

21. Rostow W.W. The stages of economic growth: a non-communist manifesto, London, 1960, 196 р.

22. Ruttan V.W. Growth stage theories and agricultural development policy, Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1965, no. 9, р. 17–32, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-8489.1965.tb00327.x.

23. Schuh B., Maucorps A., Munch A., Brkanovic S. Research for AGRI Committee – the EU farming employment: current challenges and future prospects, European Parliament, Policy Department for Structural and Cohesion Policies, Brussels, 2019, 122 р.

24. Strany BRIKS: klassifikaciya regionov [BRICS countries: classification of regions], Byulleten’ o tekushchih tendenciyah mirovoj ekonomiki. Vyp., 2018, no. 34, 20 p. (In Russian)

25. Syrquin M. Patterns of structural change, Handbook of development economics, H. Chenery, T.N. Srinivasan (eds.), London, Elsevier BV, 1988, no. 1, р. 203–273.

26. Syrquin M. Structural Change and Development, International Handbook of Development Economics, A.K. Dutt, J. Ros (eds.), London, Elsevier, 2008, no. 1, p. 48–67.

27. Timmer C.P. The Agricultural Transformation, Handbook of development economics, H. Chenery, T.N. Srinivasan (eds.), Amsterdam, Elsevier, 1988, р. 275–331.

28. Tipologiya zarubezhnyh stran: uchebno-metodicheskoe posobie [Typology of foreign countries: teaching aid], A.S. Naumov, R.A. Dohov, D.S. Elmanova, F.A. Popov, A.S. Naumov (ed.), Moscow, Pelikan, 2019, 336 p. (In Russian)

29. Torre A., Wallet F. Regional development in rural areas, Analytical tools and Public policies, Springer Briefs in Regional Science, 2016, 110 p.

30. Trivelli C., Berdegué J.A. Rural transformation. Looking towards the future of Latin America and the Caribbean, 2030 – Food, agriculture and rural development in Latin America and the Caribbean, 2019, no. 1, 76 p.

31. Tsakok I., Gardner B. Agriculture in economic development: primary engine of growth or chicken and egg? American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2007, no. 89(5), р. 1145–1151.

32. Vos R. Agricultural and rural transformations in Asian development, WIDER Working Paper, 2018, no. 87, 33 р.


Review

For citations:


Potapova A.A., Naumov A.S. Spatio-temporal analysis of agricultural employment in the countries of the world. Lomonosov Geography Journal. 2022;(5):76-90. (In Russ.)

Views: 195


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 0579-9414 (Print)