Preview

Lomonosov Geography Journal

Advanced search

Resilience potential of the Russian Arctic cities

Abstract

Resilience is the ability of urban systems to overcome natural or manufactured crises. It is regarded as a complementary concept to that of sustainable development. Application of the concept of resilience is particularly relevant in the Arctic, where both natural and economic systems are particularly vulnerable. The article analyzes 19 quantitative indicators for 27 Arctic settlements of the Russian Federation according to the following subsystems: economic specialization, life support and communal services, socio-cultural, natural-ecological, administrative and managerial. Cluster analysis identified 7 groups of cities that consistently demonstrate similarity under different versions of analysis. Overcoming crises in a city development requires simultaneous resilience in different subsystems of urban development; the weakness of any of these subsystems could cause the collapse of the entire system. Therefore, the assessment of resilience requires an integrated approach.

About the Authors

N. Yu. Zamjatina
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography

Department of socio-economic geography of foreign countries

Associate Professor, Ph.D. in Geography



E. A. Kotov
HSE University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Urban and Regional Development / Vysokovsky Graduate School of Urbanism

Senior Lecturer, Scientifi c Researcher



R. V. Goncharov
HSE University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Urban and Regional Development / Vysokovsky Graduate School of Urbanism

Associate Professor, Ph.D. in Geography



A. V. Burceva
Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University
Russian Federation

Higher School of Engineering Pedagogy, Psychology and Applied Linguistics

Associate Professor, Ph.D. in Pedagogy



V. I. Grebenets
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography

Department of Cryolithology and Glaciology

Associate Professor, Ph.D. in Geography



A. A. Medvedkov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography

Department of World Physical Geography and Geoecology

Associate Professor, Ph.D. in Geography



V. A. Molodtsova
HSE University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Urban and Regional Development / Vysokovsky Graduate School of Urbanism

Lecturer, Junior Researcher



V. P. Klyueva
Tyumen Scientific Center SB RAS
Russian Federation

Institute of Problems of the Development of the North, sector of Social Anthropology

Leading Scientific Researcher, Ph.D. in History



Yu. V. Kul’chitskii
HSE University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Urban and Regional Development / Vysokovsky Graduate School of Urbanism

Lecturer



B. A. Mironova
Analytical Center of the ANO “Moscow Urban Forum”
Russian Federation

Analyst



B. V. Nikitin
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography

Department of socio-economic geography of foreign countries

Postgraduate student



A. N. Pilyasov
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography

Department of socio-economic geography of foreign countries

Professor, D.Sc. in Geography



A. E. Polyachenko
HSE University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Economic Sciences

Master student



A. V. Poturaeva
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography

Department of socio-economic geography of foreign countries

Postgraduate student



D. A. Streletskii
Tyumen Scientific Center SB RAS
Russian Federation

Institute of the Earth’s Cryosphere

Senior Scientific Researcher, PhD. in Geography



I. A. Shamalo
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation

Faculty of Geography

Department of socio-economic geography of foreign countries

Postgraduate student



References

1. Arctic Resilience Report, M. Carson and G. Peterson (eds.), Stockholm Environment Institute and Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm, 2016, 218 p.

2. Arctic Social Indicators – a follow-up to the Arctic Human Development Report, J.N. Larsen, P. Schweitzer, and G. Fondahl (еds.), Nordic Council of Ministers, Copenhagen, 2010, 159 p.

3. Baburin V.L., Badina S.V., Goryachko M.D., Zemtsov S.P., Koltermann K.P. Otsenka uyazvimosti sotsial’no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Arkticheskoi territorii Rossii [Vulnerability assessment of the socio-economic development of the Russian Arctic territories], Vestn. Mosk. un-ta, Ser. 5, Geogr., 2016, no. 6, p. 71–77. (In Russian)

4. Baburin V.L., Zemtsov P.P. Evolyutsiya sistemy gorodskikh poselenii i dinamika prirodnykh i sotsial’no-ekonomicheskikh protsessov v Rossiiskoi Arktike [Evolution of the urban settlement system and the dynamics of natural and socio-economic processes in the Russian Arctic], Regional’nye issledovaniya, 2015, vol. 50, no. 4, p. 76–83. (In Russian)

5. Collier F., Hambling J., Kernaghan S. et al. Tomorrow’s cities: a framework to assess urban resilience, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Urban Design and Planning, 2014, vol. 167(2), p. 79–91, DOI: 10.1680/udap.13.00019.

6. Council A. Arctic resilience report. Stockholm Environment Institute and Stockholm Resilience Centre, 2016.

7. Fiala D. UTCI-Fiala multi-node model of human heat transfer and temperature regulation, Int. Journal Biometeorol, 2012, no. 56, р. 429–441.

8. Fingleton B., Garretsen H., Martin R. Recessionary Shocks and Regional Employment: Evidence on the Resilience of UK Regions, Journal of Regional Science, 2012, vol. 52, no. 1, p. 109–133.

9. Giannakis E., Bruggeman A. Economic crisis and regional resilience: Evidence from Greece, Papers in Regional Science, 2017, vol. 96, no. 3, p. 451–476.

10. Goncharov R.V., Dan’kin M.A., Zamyatina N.Yu. Molodtsova V.A. Sobory v pustyne ili opornye bazy? Raznoobrazie gorodov i poselkov Rossiiskoi Arktiki po kharakteru vzaimosvyazei s okruzhayushchei territoriei [Cathedrals in the desert or support bases? The diversity of cities and towns of the Russian Arctic by the nature of relationships with the surrounding territory], Gorodskie issledovaniya, 2021, vol. 5, no. 1, р. 33‒56, DOI: 10.17323/usp51202033-56. (In Russian)

11. Holling C.S. Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems, Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 1973, vol. 4, p. 1–23.

12. Hopkins R. The Transition Handbook: From Oil Depen dency to Local Resilience, Totnes, Devon, Green Books Ltd, 2018, 340 p.

13. Isachenko A.G. Vvedenie v ekologicheskuyu geografiyu [Introduction to ecological geography], SPb., SPbGU, 2003, 192 p. (In Russian)

14. Klimanov V., Kazakova S., Mikhaylova A. Economic and Fiscal Resilience of Russia’s Regions, Regional Science Policy and Practice, 2020, vol. 12, iss. 4, p. 627–640.

15. Kumo K., Litvinenko T.V. Instability and stability in the population dynamics of Chukotka and its settlements in the post-soviet period: Regional features and intraregional and local differences, Regional Research of Russia, 2020, vol. 10, no. 1, p. 71–85.

16. Maaten L.V.D., Hinton G. Visualizing Data using t-SNE, Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2008, vol. 9, p. 2579–2605.

17. Maddi S., Khoshaba D. Resilience at work, New York, Amacom, 2005, 240 p.

18. Martin R. Regional economic resilience, hysteresis and recessionary shocks, Journal of Economic Geography, 2012, vol. 12, no. 1, p. 1–32.

19. McInnes L., Healy J., Melville J. UMAP: Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection for Dimension Reduction, 2018, DOI: 10.48550/ARXIV.1802.03426.

20. Natsional’nyi atlas Rossii, t. 2, Priroda. Ekologiya [National Atlas of Russia, vol. 2, Nature, Ecology], A.V. Borodko, V.V. Sveshnikov et al. (еds.), Moscow, Roskartografiya Publ., 2007, 496 p. (In Russian)

21. Pilyasov A.N., Kolesnikova O.V. Otsenka tvorcheskogo potentsiala rossiiskikh regional’nykh soobshchestv [Assessment of the creative potential of Russian regional communities], Voprosy ekonomiki, 2008, no. 9, p. 50–69. (In Russian)

22. Polyachenko A. Regional Resilience of Russian Arctic Cities, ERSA Abstract Book, 2019, p. 346.

23. Scrucca L., Fop M., Murphy T.B., Raftery A.E. Mclust 5: Clustering, Classification and Density Estimation Using Gaussian Finite Mixture Models, The R Journal, 2016, vol. 8(1), p. 205–233, DOI: 10.32614/RJ-2016-021.

24. Smirnov A.V. Chelovecheskoe razvitie i perspektivy formirovaniya ekonomiki znanii v Rossiiskoi Arktike [Human development and prospects for the formation of the knowledge economy in the Russian Arctic], Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika, 2020, no. 2(38), p. 18–30, DOI: 10.25283/2223-4594-2020-2-18-30. (In Russian)

25. Sovremennye izmeneniya v litosfere pod vliyaniem prirodnykh i antropogennykh faktorov [Modern changes in the lithosphere under the influence of natural and anthropogenic factors], V.I. Osipov, A.L. Yanshin et al. (еds.), Moscow, Nedra Publ., 1996, 222 p. (In Russian)

26. Vinogradova V.V. Teplovoe vozdeistvie na territorii Rossii v seredine XXI veka po model’nym dannym [Thermal impact on the territory of Russia in the middle of the 21st century according to model data], Izvestiya Rossiiskoi akademii nauk. Seriya geograficheskaya, 2020, vol. 84, no. 3, р. 404‒413. (In Russian)

27. Vlasova T., Petrov A.N., Volkov S. Rethinking Sustainability Monitoring in the Arctic by Linking Resilience and Sustainable Development in Socially-Oriented Observations: A Perspective, Sustainability, 2021, vol. 13(1), p. 177, DOI: 10.3390/su13010177.

28. Zamyatina N.Yu. Razvilki sud’by frontirnogo goroda: uroki Igarki [The forks of the fate of a frontier city: the lessons of Igarka], EKO, 2021, no. 1, p. 67–92. (In Russian)

29. Zamyatina N.Yu., Goncharov R.V. Arkticheskaya urbanizatsiya: fenomen i sravnitel’nyi analiz [Arctic urbanization: a phenomenon and a comparative analysis], Vestn. Mosk. unta, Ser. 5, Geografiya, 2020, no. 4, p. 69–82. (In Russian)

30. Zamyatina N.Yu., Medvedkov A.A., Polyachenko A.E., Shamalo I.A. Zhiznestoikost’ arkticheskikh gorodov: analiz podkhodov [Resilience of Arctic cities: analysis of approaches], Vestn. Sankt-Peterburgskogo un-ta, Nauki o Zemle, 2020, vol. 65, no. 3, p. 481–505, DOI: 10.21638/spbu07.2020.305. (In Russian)

31. Zamyatina N., Goncharov R. Arctic urbanization: resilience in a condition of permanent instability. The case of Russian Arctic cities, Resilience and Urban Disasters Surviving Cities. New Horizons in Regional Science series, K. Borsekova, P. Nijkamp (еds.), UK, Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd, 2018, p. 136–154.

32. Zamyatina N.Yu., Pilyasov A.N. Innovatsionnyi poisk v monoprofil’nykh gorodakh: blokirovki razvitiya, novaya promyshlennaya politika i dorozhnaya karta peremen [Innovative search in single-industry cities: development blocks, new industrial policy and a roadmap for change], Moscow, URSS Publ., 2015, 216 p. (In Russian)

33. Zhikharevich B.P., Klimanov V.V., Maracha V.G. Shokoustoichivost’ territorial’nykh sistem: kontseptsiya, izmerenie, upravlenie [Shock resistance of territorial systems: concept, measurement, management], Regional’nye issledovaniya, 2020, no. 3, p. 4–15, DOI: 10.5922/1994-5280-2020-3-1. (In Russian)


Review

For citations:


Zamjatina N.Yu., Kotov E.A., Goncharov R.V., Burceva A.V., Grebenets V.I., Medvedkov A.A., Molodtsova V.A., Klyueva V.P., Kul’chitskii Yu.V., Mironova B.A., Nikitin B.V., Pilyasov A.N., Polyachenko A.E., Poturaeva A.V., Streletskii D.A., Shamalo I.A. Resilience potential of the Russian Arctic cities. Lomonosov Geography Journal. 2022;(5):52-65. (In Russ.)

Views: 610


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 0579-9414 (Print)